Global Electronics Update for December 30, 2020 

Business conditions generally improved in late 2020:Third-quarter 2020 electronic equipment sales returned to near “break-even” compared to Q3 2019 (chart 21).November 2020 world electronic equipment shipments were up 11.4 percent versus November 2019, and up 7.3 percent sequentially compared to October 2020 (chart 2)Preliminary combined regional Q4 sales data show a marked upturn versus the third quarter (chart 3)Monthly world PCB shipments have likely reached their 2020 seasonal peak (chart 4)Sources: Regional and company financial data consolidated and analyzed by Custer Consulting

Source: Weekly Global Update for December 30, 2020 | TTI, Inc.

Global Electronics Update for December 23, 2020

Markit Economics has released its December “flash” PMIs:December vs. November by country/region (chart 1)Historical Manufacturing PMIs by month:USA (chart 2)Eurozone (chart 3)Germany (chart 4)France (chart 5) Japan (chart 6)

Source: U.S. Industrial Production Rose in October | Weekly Global Update for December 23, 2020 | TTI, Inc.

Electronics Execs Optimistic as 2020 Draws to an End

The idea that the electronics industry would close the year on a high note seemed absurd 9 months ago. But like the manufacturing sector writ large, the supply chain has bounced back from the worst of coronavirus pandemic.“In spite of serious concerns about both supply and demand impacts in the early stages of the Covid-19 pandemic, it appears sales levels for 2020 will remain fairly stable compared to 2019 with some sectors showing relatively mild declines and others actually achieving growth,” according to Dale Ford, ECIA’s chief analyst. Just days before the ECIA report was issued, the Institute for Supply Management released similar findings – supply executives were more optimistic in November than they were the prior month.U.S. manufacturing growth has softened but remains above pre-pandemic levels. The ISM’s factory index, the PMI, declined by 1.8 percent — to 57.5 — from October’s level of 59.3. ECIA’s December forecast for overall component sales registered 113.9, down from 136.9 in November.  The line between growth and contraction is, respectively, 50 and 100.

Source: Electronics Execs Optimistic as 2020 Draws to an End

Massachusetts small businesses that are open drop 37% amid coronavirus

As the coronavirus pandemic has triggered shutdowns and restrictions across the state, a staggering number of small businesses in Massachusetts have closed their doors amid plummeting revenues, according to Harvard researchers.

Source: Massachusetts small businesses that are open drop 37% amid coronavirus: Report

There’s No Such Thing as the “New Normal” for Supply Chain 

The coronavirus pandemic has put chief supply chain officers (CSCOs) under pressure to adapt and prepare their networks for an uncertain future. In fact, Gartner says supply chain leaders should focus on adapting their strategies, investment and leadership styles to ensure long-term efficient growth.

Source: There’s No Such Thing as the “New Normal” for Supply Chain | Source Today

Global Electronics Update for Nov. 11, 2020 

October PMIs have been released for major countries worldwide: Key regions saw a PMI improvement in October vs. September 2020 (chart 1)Global PMI reached its highest value since June 2018 (chart 2)Institute for Supply management’s U.S. PMI surged (chart 3)European PMIs improved, with the exception of UK and Russia (chart 4)Eurozone PMI reached its highest level since June 2018 (chart 5)Germany manufacturing activity continued to expand (chart 6)Asia improved with the exception of Vietnam (chart 7) as ASEAN composite PMI edged up but still remained below 50 (chart 8)China manufacturing activity continued to rise (chart 9)

Source: Growth in PMIs; Sales Improved in Q3 | Weekly Global Update for Nov. 11, 2020 | TTI, Inc.

Could the Downturn Have Bottomed Out in Q3?

Based on still preliminary (actual plus estimated company financials) data, world electronic equipment shipments were down 1.8 percent in the third quarter versus Q3 2019, but up 15 percent in versus Q2.The recent downturn appears to have bottomed in the second quarter as growth has resumed (charts 1 & 2). The turnaround is quite obvious in the 3/12 growth curve of global electronic sales (chart 3). Comparing composite regional to company financial sales growth gives similar findings (chart 4).

Source: Could the Downturn Have Bottomed Out in Q3? | Weekly Global Update for Nov. 4, 2020 | TTI, Inc.

The Electronics Industry Starts to Ease Out of China

The impacts of COVID-19 illustrate the risks involved in centering too much manufacturing, assembly, and intellectual property in one region. Yet the coming implementation of connected technologies, including automation, the Internet of Things, and 5G networks, depends on connectivity products that are currently made in China. Automation may be one way out.

Source: The Electronics Industry Starts to Ease Out of China

Global Electronics Outlook: Future Recovery Hinges on COVID Activity 

Third quarter financial reports are just being released by publicly-traded companies. Based on still very limited data, here is our first very preliminary estimate of world electronic equipment growth:Global electronic equipment sales declined an estimated 6.7 percent in Q3 2020 versus Q3 2019; however, they increased 6.8 percent compared to Q2 2020 (charts 1 and 2)

Source: Future Recovery Hinges on COVID Activity | Weekly Global Update for October 28, 2020 | TTI, Inc.

Reshoring is in Full Swing Among American Manufacturers 

Heavily impacted by the supply chain disruptions that happened during the early stages of the global pandemic—and that continue to effect specific business sectors months later—American manufacturers are rethinking their supply chains and coming up with new ways to shield them from future shocks.

Source: Survey Says: Reshoring is in Full Swing Among American Manufacturers | Source Today

After a Rough 2020, European Business Conditions are Improving

In 2020, we have seen a global manufacturing decline made worse by Coronavirus-driven shutdowns. Tariffs, trade and Brexit issues continue, and geopolitical concerns remain very significant. Automotive and aerospace production have been hit hard; manufacturing is recovering, but service/travel sectors remain in major recession.While the first half of 2020 was quite bad, conditions are now improving. On October 2, I presented a European Institute of Printed Circuits (EIPC) sponsored webinar, “Business Outlook for the Global Electronics Industry (with Emphasis on Europe).”

Source: After a Rough 2020, European Business Conditions are Improving | TTI, Inc.

Top 10 tech industry trends for 2021

As the DRAM industry officially enters the EUV era, NAND Flash stacking technology advances past 150L, says TrendForce as it provides its forecast of 10 key trends in the tech industry for 2021.The three major DRAM suppliers Samsung, SK Hynix, and Micron will not only continue their transition towards the 1Znm and 1alpha nm process technologies, but also formally introduce the EUV era, with Samsung leading the charge, in 2021. DRAM suppliers will gradually replace their existing double patterning technologies in order to optimize their cost structure and manufacturing efficiency.

Source: Evertiq – Top 10 tech industry trends for 2021